Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 113.490499 124.940148 136.596279 149.324753 162.807173 176.637926 191.873233
2025-11-16 90.812706 107.374980 124.991753 145.015200 167.034247 190.406726 216.987845
2025-11-23 75.679825 95.791676 118.076259 144.328016 174.141390 206.697813 244.687656
2025-11-30 66.539913 89.622086 116.147334 148.370451 185.958885 227.957025 277.966362
2025-12-07 58.002186 83.048177 112.859147 150.125996 194.664559 245.444931 306.978918
2025-12-14 49.796572 75.883902 108.042354 149.371548 199.903664 258.598773 330.855126
2025-12-21 44.246269 71.409389 105.970657 151.476639 208.209045 275.139700 358.612378
2025-12-28 40.555755 68.934760 106.070269 155.997871 219.274287 294.896487 390.218606
2026-01-04 36.626114 65.684298 104.808093 158.509034 227.663610 311.339929 417.882270
2026-01-11 33.646294 63.440796 104.619918 162.200451 237.401167 329.376058 447.502293
2026-01-18 30.770260 61.036435 103.971395 165.100338 246.016442 345.990927 475.434587
2026-01-25 25.529856 54.464665 97.041353 159.175190 242.919316 347.785927 485.008837
2026-02-01 21.587458 49.543257 92.180168 155.877068 243.179459 353.851855 500.064087
2026-02-08 18.791249 46.185228 89.359686 155.219196 246.816463 364.166548 520.469295
2026-02-15 16.778930 43.939285 88.036157 156.551385 253.058623 377.822451 545.152794
2026-02-22 15.859567 43.564751 89.545193 161.944779 264.851272 398.741745 579.186633
2026-03-01 14.420928 42.035079 89.108605 164.419030 272.613842 414.442782 606.668965
2026-03-08 12.572707 39.450202 86.782077 163.948786 276.203766 424.634179 627.115716
2026-03-15 11.428465 38.135730 86.432323 166.365804 283.792501 440.110581 654.422872
2026-03-22 10.796305 37.827005 87.727742 171.270869 294.913345 460.338850 687.985972
2026-03-29 9.877295 36.757027 87.636807 173.993829 302.922703 476.443742 716.272685
2026-04-05 9.218944 36.187803 88.358117 177.946279 312.689478 494.936571 747.741995
2026-04-12 8.495729 35.359444 88.556208 181.043205 321.225157 511.808451 777.173297